Wednesday 10 December 2014

'China's Future?' Lecture



On Monday 8th September, four members of the Epsom College Geographical Society travelled to the Royal Geographical Society in London to listen to Timothy Beardson speak on 'China's Future?'. Having lived in, worked in, and advised China for thirty five years, Timothy is an expert in this part of the world.
During his talk, he presented some of the key national and international challenges facing China and to what extent these may affect the present rapid pace of development. He wanted to focus on the possible problems that China may encounter in the foreseeable future. He brought to life for the audience the daunting array of challenges that today confront China, as well as the inadequacy of leadership's responses. Threats to China come from many fronts and by their number and sheer weight these problems will prevent the nation's ambition to take over as the world's "Number 1 power". Drawing on extensive research and experience living and working in Asia he gave details of China's situation: an unstoppable demographic future of the ageing, extreme gender disparity, a shrinking labour force, and even a falling population. Also, he suggested, the nation faces social instability, a spoiled environment, a low-tech economy with inadequate innovation.
He has also written a book 'Stumbling Giant: The Threats to China's Future' which goes into further detail and bravely counters widely-held assumptions that have predicted the near-certainty of China's rise to global supremacy. Overall, the lecture was well worth it and it is something we would find very useful to do again.

Zoe Olsen

Tuesday 2 December 2014

Is Carbon Capture and Storage our solution to climate change?




Climate change is arguably one of our generation’s most significant problems. 97% of scientists agree that humans have caused climate change; with the IPCC stating that all of the global warming since 1950 is human-caused. Our efforts must now turn to how we can prevent the impacts of this phenomenon from becoming too severe, and carbon capture and storage (“CCS”) is a promising solution.



It involves capturing the carbon dioxide from power plant emissions, transporting it through pipeline and then storing it, generally in geological formations, where it remains. Evidently, this is a brilliant concept. It has the potential to remove 80-95% of the carbon dioxide from electric power plants, which will reduce total greenhouse gas emissions by 19%.


CCS also enables coal to remain an important, if not dominant, source of energy for years to come without heavily damaging the environment. This will prevent the energy shortages that are threatened if proposals to build new coal-fired power plants continue to get rejected. 


Another benefit of this is that the economic model of most countries will not have to be as dramatically altered as it would with other proposed strategies to combat global warming. Naomi Klein, an author and social activist, claims that the current battle with climate change is a product of the capitalist economies of many leading nations today. CCS appears to offer a perfect solution to keep environmentalists and corporate elites happy.


However, there are limitations to the effectiveness and possible viability of CCS. Firstly, although storage sites have been predicted to retain 99% of the carbon dioxide over 1,000 years, the possibility of leaks remains. In 1986, a release of as much of 1 million tonnes of carbon dioxide from a crater lake in Cameroon killed 1,700 by asphyxiation. Despite this being entirely due to natural causes, it demonstrates the potential impact of human exposure to a leak from storage sites.


Also, due to the fugitive property of carbon dioxide, it will migrate throughout the pore space of the storage formation. This has the potential to cause seismic events, as well as polluting aquifers that hold the water we drink.


Finally, carbon capture and storage is not cost effective. It requires 10-40% of the energy produced by a power station, which means fuel consumption will increase by 30%. Estimates are that a carbon price of US$60 per ton will be required to make CCS competitive, which will increase the average residential electricity price by 50%.


As a result of this, methods have been proposed to make CCS more cost effective. Enhanced Oil Recovery involves injecting the captured carbon dioxide into depleted oil fields, which forces out more oil. This can be sold, which would bring about net benefits of US$10-16 per tonne. A new process called bio CCS algal synthesis uses carbon dioxide in the production of oil-rich algae, which can be used to make oil and, in turn, plastics or make food for farm animals. Either of these methods enables carbon capture to be profitable.


A Norwegian company, Statoil, introduced the world’s first carbon capture and storage project in 1996. It enables the company to avoid the Norwegian carbon dioxide tax, which would have been NOK 1 million per day, as well as gaining them carbon dioxide credit for the gas that they inject into the sandstone storage site. There has been no evidence of carbon dioxide leakage and no seismic activity. By May 2008, over 10 million tonnes of the gas had been stored. 
CCS in Norway
This displays the potential success of CCS if governments around the world commit themselves to reducing carbon dioxide emissions. Measures can be taken to avoid the possible risks and drawbacks associated with the process if economic funding is readily available; and governments should ensure that it is if the worst impacts of climate change are to be avoided.

Ella Witts

Are China’s Only Children Happy? Photographer Carlos Barria investigates through time…



Zhang Bowen, born in 1985






Since its introduction in 1979, China’s One Child Policy has resulted in a generation of only children or ‘singletons.’ The state estimates that 400 million births have been averted since 1980, saving scarce food resources and helping pull families out of poverty. Despite this, critics say it has created a generation of ‘spoilt brats’ and reinforced a cultural preference for male heirs who can take better care of their parents in old age. If couples are allowed only one child, many want to make sure it is a boy. Couples violating the policy have had to pay a fine, or in some cases have been forced to undergo abortions. It is a relatively new idea to research the welfare of these singletons and their thoughts on the one child policy. What is it really like to be an only child in China today? Photographer Carlos Barria aimed to find out. He photographed a person born in each year China’s one child policy has been in existence; starting from a man Cai Hua born in 1979, to a baby Jin Yanxi born in 2014. He asked each singleton whether they would like to have siblings. Barria found totally different answers for the different age groups. The majority of the older generation wished they had grown up with a sibling, as it would have been less lonely. Those only children in their 20’s and 30’s now find it hard to take care of their parents alone, as well as their own families. Zhang Bowen, (pictured above) who was born in 1985, said: "I would like to have had a sister or a brother because I would have felt less lonely when I was growing up… as your parents get older, it would be good to have brothers and sisters to share the responsibilities." Lu Da, born in 1986 felt similarly. He said: ‘When my parents get older, I need to take the responsibility of taking care of them. If there are brothers or sisters at home things will be much easier." Barria found that the teenagers’ views were different. These singletons were more concerned about their parents’ ability to pay for their education; if they had siblings, money would have to be shared between two or three.
 
^Jiang Chencheng, born in 1993

Jiang Chencheng, who was born in 1993 said: "I wouldn't like to have a brother or a sister because I would have to share the family's financial resources with them and it would be very difficult for our parents to send them to good Universities." Other teenagers believed they would not do as well in their studies if they had a brother or sister. Wang Qi'an, who was born in 2003 answered: ‘I have investigated all my classmates who have brothers and sisters. None of them perform well in their studies.’  The last age group Barria photographed was young children. He found that most only children born recently said they were happy being an only child; they didn’t wish to share their toys or the attention of their parents.
 
 
^Liu Ziyu, born in 2009
 
Liu Ziyu, was born in 2009. She said that she didn't want siblings “because my mother would dote on him or her." Many of the young children’s answers were similar to this one.
 
Barria concluded that his project gave him the opportunity to see a whole generation of singleton Chinese, from 0-35 years old and hear what their frustrations, expectations and dreams for the future were. More importantly, the photographer’s investigation may give us insight into the future pressures on only children in China today. It may also help us see the impacts of the One Child Policy on these singletons. Has it truly been a success?
 
Article by Harriet Jennings